Story Published:
Dec 2, 2008 at 11:29 PM EDT
Story Updated:
Jan 21, 2009 at 12:49 PM EDT
AUGUSTA, Ga. - It is time for snow! Literally. Augusta averages 1.4 inches of snow every year, and we are past due. The last time it snowed at least an inch was back in January 2002 when 3 inches was recorded at Augusta, Bush Field, the official weather reporting station for the Augusta area.
Our research of past snows since observations at Bush Field began in 1950 suggests we have never gone more than six consecutive years without at least one inch of snow. That means we are due for a snow this winter. Plan on it!
The official winter temperature forecast from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center suggests equal chances for above or below average temperatures for the area. Much of the country has a good chance for above average temperatures. But the real story here is that there are no strong atmospheric signals to help forecast temperatures and precipitation past 30 days.

Typically, the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a global weather cycle based on Pacific Ocean temperatures, provides good clues as to long-range and seasonal forecasts. But right now, the ENSO cycle is in a neutral phase, which for most areas around the globe means anything could happen.
Given the lack of strong signals in the atmosphere and the fact that we are overdue for snow here in Augusta, we think it's a good bet to plan on at least one snow day. Get those sleds ready!
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